Pakistan’s Airstrikes in Eastern Afghanistan: A Calculated Move with Dual Objectives

Ahmad Fawad Arsala

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The recent airstrikes conducted by Pakistan in eastern Afghanistan, which claimed the lives of 46 people, predominantly women and children, have garnered widespread condemnation and scrutiny. While Pakistan has often justified such actions under the pretext of countering terrorism, this incident seems to signal a deeper, more calculated agenda. By examining the underlying motives, it becomes evident that Pakistan seeks to achieve two strategic objectives: projecting its internal failures onto external actors and manipulating U.S. foreign policy to its advantage.

Deflecting Domestic Failures

One of Pakistan’s primary objectives behind these airstrikes is to project its inability to manage the threat posed by the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), commonly known as the Pakistani Taliban, onto external forces. The TTP, which has intensified its insurgency within Pakistan, has exposed the country’s faltering security apparatus and inconsistent counterterrorism strategies. By carrying out military operations in Afghan territory, Pakistan aims to externalize its internal security challenges and shift the blame onto Afghanistan, specifically the Taliban regime.

This tactic serves a dual purpose. Domestically, it diverts attention from Pakistan’s inability to address the root causes of militancy, such as economic instability, lack of governance, and radicalization. Internationally, it creates a narrative that positions Pakistan as a victim of cross-border terrorism, thereby justifying its aggressive actions in the eyes of global powers. However, this approach ignores the fact that Pakistan’s own policies—including its historical support for extremist groups—have significantly contributed to the current instability.

Shaping U.S. Foreign Policy

The timing of these airstrikes is particularly notable, as they come during a transitional period for U.S. foreign policy. With an upcoming U.S. administration expected to reassess its strategy in South Asia, Pakistan’s actions can be interpreted as an attempt to position itself as an indispensable ally. By escalating tensions in the region, Pakistan aims to underscore its strategic relevance and portray itself as a critical player in combating terrorism.

Historically, Pakistan has leveraged its geographical proximity to Afghanistan and its influence over various militant groups to secure favorable policies and financial aid from the United States. The airstrikes serve as a reminder to Washington that Pakistan remains a key stakeholder in the region’s stability—or lack thereof. By creating a sense of urgency, Pakistan hopes to influence the next U.S. administration’s policy decisions in its favor, ensuring continued economic and military support.

The Human Cost of Strategic Calculations

While Pakistan’s motives may be rooted in strategic considerations, the human cost of these airstrikes cannot be ignored. The deaths of innocent civilians, including women and children, highlight the devastating consequences of using military force as a tool for geopolitical maneuvering. Such actions not only undermine Pakistan’s credibility but also risk further destabilizing an already fragile region.

Moreover, these airstrikes strain Pakistan’s relationship with the Taliban-led Afghan government, which has already accused Islamabad of violating Afghan sovereignty. This growing mistrust undermines any prospects for regional cooperation, which is essential for addressing shared challenges such as terrorism and economic development.

Conclusion

Pakistan’s airstrikes in eastern Afghanistan reveal a calculated strategy aimed at achieving two objectives: deflecting blame for its internal security failures and shaping U.S. foreign policy to its advantage. However, this approach is fraught with risks. By externalizing its problems and engaging in cross-border aggression, Pakistan not only jeopardizes regional stability but also exposes its double standards in counter-terrorism. For the United States and other global powers, it is crucial to recognize these tactics and approach Pakistan’s actions with a critical lens. Only by holding Pakistan accountable and fostering genuine regional cooperation can lasting peace and stability be achieved in South Asia.

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