The road to the 2026 FIFA World Cup reaches a critical juncture in Dublin this Thursday as the Republic of Ireland hosts a star-studded Portugal side at the Aviva Stadium. For the visitors, it’s a chance to book their ticket to North America; for the hosts, it’s a final, desperate stand to keep their fading dreams alive.
The Stakes: Qualification Scenarios
Portugal’s Path: The equation for Roberto Martínez’s team is simple: a win against Ireland secures direct qualification. Sitting atop Group F with 10 points from an unbeaten campaign (3 wins, 1 draw), a victory would give them an unassailable 13 points with one game remaining. Even two draws in their final matches would see them through comfortably.
Ireland’s Uphill Battle: For Ireland, the path is narrow and requires a monumental upset. With only 4 points from four matches, their hopes of a top-two finish hinge on winning their final two games and hoping other results go their way. A loss to Portugal would mathematically eliminate them from automatic qualification.
A Look Back: Drama in Lisbon
The reverse fixture in October was a heartbreaker for Ireland. They bravely held Portugal to a 0-0 draw for over 90 minutes, even seeing a Cristiano Ronaldo penalty saved by Gavin Bazunu. However, the script ended cruelly when Rúben Neves fired in a stunning stoppage-time winner to snatch all three points for the hosts.
Tactical Talk: Team News and Predicted Lineups
Ireland Team News:
Manager Heimir Hallgrímsson is grappling with a significant injury crisis. The biggest blow is the absence of talismanic striker Evan Ferguson, who is sidelined with an ankle injury. This robs Ireland of their most potent attacking threat. They are also without the suspended duo of Ryan Manning and Jayson Molumby, while Callum O’Dowda, Mark Sykes, and Sammie Szmodics are injured.
Portugal Team News:
The visitors have minor concerns but a deep squad to compensate. Winger Pedro Neto has withdrawn from the squad due to a groin injury, with AC Milan’s Rafael Leão the likely direct replacement. Sporting CP’s Pedro Gonçalves is also out. All eyes will be on Cristiano Ronaldo, who has yet to score in four previous appearances on Irish soil. He will lead the line as he continues to add to his all-time international scoring record (143 goals).
Predicted Starting Lineups:
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Ireland (3-4-2-1): Kelleher; O’Brien, O’Shea, Collins; Coleman, Cullen, Taylor, Johnston; Ebosele, Azaz; Parrott.
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Portugal (4-3-3): Costa; Cancelo, Dias, Inácio, Mendes; Fernandes, Neves, Vitinha; Bernardo Silva, Ronaldo, Leão.
The Managers’ Corner
Heimir Hallgrímsson (Ireland):
“We will know what we need in this game against Portugal before we kick off, which is a benefit to us… but it doesn’t change how we start and play the game. We may need to take calculated risks as the game progresses.”
Roberto Martínez (Portugal):
“November is always a difficult stage. Even so, our focus is on qualifying for the World Cup. We have to improve, especially in the final 20 minutes of games,” he said, referencing Hungary’s late equalizer in their last match.
A Legend’s Final Bow?
Cristiano Ronaldo has confirmed that the 2026 World Cup will be his last major international tournament.
“Definitely, yes, because I will be 41 years old,” said Ronaldo. “I gave everything for football… I’m really proud. So let’s enjoy the moment, live the moment.”
This adds a poignant narrative to Portugal’s qualification quest, as they aim to secure their legend’s final World Cup appearance.
Head-to-Head and Form Guide
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History: Portugal dominates the historical record with 10 wins to Ireland’s 4 from 17 previous meetings.
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Ireland’s Last Win: A 1-0 friendly victory in 2005. Their last competitive win dates back to a Euro qualifier in 1995.
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Current Form:
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Portugal: W-W-W-W-D (Unbeaten and dominant until a late draw last time out)
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Ireland: D-D-L-L-W (A recent win over Armenia broke a poor run of form)
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How to Watch
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Match: Republic of Ireland vs. Portugal
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Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifying – UEFA Group F
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Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin
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Date: Thursday, November 14
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Kick-off: 19:45 GMT / 14:45 ET
The stage is set for a tense and emotional night in Dublin. Will Portugal’s golden generation take the final step, or can a wounded Irish side summon a performance for the ages?
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